International Friendly

Nov 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Dashrath Rangasala

Nepal
1 - 0
Pakistan

Bista (82')
Bista (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dost (50')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Nepal and Pakistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Nepal 3-1 Bangladesh
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.45pm in International Friendlies

Pakistan

Last Game: Palestine 2-1 Pakistan
Friday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.

Result
Nepal	Draw	Pakistan
68.41% ( -0.02)	18.5% ( 0.01)	13.09% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.53% (

40.47% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.15% (

0.01)

62.85% (

-0)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.2% (

-0)

10.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.15% (

-0.01)

34.85% (

0.01)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.62% (

0.02)

42.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.24% (

0.02)

78.76% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Nepal 68.39%

Pakistan 13.09%

Draw 18.5%

Nepal	Draw	Pakistan
2-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.22% 4-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 4.14% Total : 68.39%	1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 18.5%	0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.09%