Friendlies 3

Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Mauritius
3 - 0
Pakistan

Villeneuve (54'), Nazira (64'), M. Khan (72' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mauritius and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 2-0 Seychelles
Monday, July 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Pakistan

Last Game: Maldives 1-0 Pakistan
Tuesday, March 21 at 11am in International Friendlies

We said: Mauritius 1-0 Pakistan

Both teams are renowned for their inefficiency in front of goal, so we are anticipating a low-scoring affair in this one. That said, we can see Mauritius just about managing to come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakistan win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mauritius would win this match.

Result
Mauritius	Draw	Pakistan
33.1% ( -0.28)	26.64% ( 0.06)	40.26% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73% (

-0.28)

53.27% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.18% (

-0.24)

74.82% (

0.25)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-0.32)

30.24% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-0.39)

66.41% (

0.39)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01% (

-0.01)

25.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.99% (

-0.02)

61.01% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Mauritius 33.1%

Pakistan 40.26%

Draw 26.63%

Mauritius	Draw	Pakistan
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.1%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.26%