Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 25, 2024 at 3pm UK

Education City Stadium

Saudi Arabia
0 - 0
Thailand

Ghareeb (35')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	2	3	6
2	Thailand	2	2	4
3	Oman	2	-1	1
4	Kyrgyzstan	2	-4	0

Thailand

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Oman 0-0 Thailand
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	2	3	6
2	Thailand	2	2	4
3	Oman	2	-1	1
4	Kyrgyzstan	2	-4	0

We said: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Thailand

Both sides have been quite compact defensively, but we are leaning towards the Saudis because we believe they are better suited to handle a pressure situation like this, which is relatively foreign to Thailand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Thailand win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Thailand
45.24% ( 0.99)	24.37% ( -0.27)	30.39% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 58.02% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

0.87)

44.48% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

0.83)

66.85% (

-0.83)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.79)

19.8% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

1.26)

51.86% (

-1.26)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.05)

27.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.06)

63.2% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 45.24%

Thailand 30.39%

Draw 24.36%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Thailand
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.39%