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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Thailand national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Chonburi Stadium (Chonburi)
China national football team

Thailand
1 - 2
China

Yooyen (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lei (29'), Wang (74')
Linpeng (19'), Wang (64'), Xi (71'), Dalei (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Thailand and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

Last Game: Estonia 1-1 Thailand
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

China

Last Game: China 1-2 Uzbekistan
Monday, October 16 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies

We said: Thailand 1-2 China

 Both teams will be hugely motivated to begin their qualifying campaigns with a victory, especially with South Korea likely to dominate Group C. We expect to see a close game play out in Bangkok, but China should just about edge it in the end, in part due to their players competing at a higher level domestically. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for China had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for China in this match.

Result
ThailandDrawChina
54.87% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.27% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 53.62% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.56% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.83% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)16.84% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)46.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48%35.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71%72.29%
Score Analysis
    Thailand 54.87%
    China 21.86%
    Draw 23.27%
ThailandDrawChina
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.49%
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.86%

How you voted: Thailand vs China

Thailand
37.5%
Draw
9.4%
China
53.1%
32
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2018 12.30pm
International Friendlies
Thailand
0-2
China
Lei (34'), Xiaodong (74')
Linpeng (23'), Lei (87'), Xiaodong (93')
rhs 2.0
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