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World Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium
Tajikistan national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Tajikistan

Al-Dawsari (23')
Al-Dawsari (77'), Albulayhi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jurabaev (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Tajikistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Tajikistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Jordan
Friday, February 2 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Saudi Arabia 3-0 Tajikistan

 Despite a disappointing defeat last time out, Saudi Arabia have been in imperious form since the turn of the year and remain huge favourites here. We can see the hosts cruising to an emphatic victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawTajikistan
44.36% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 27.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.84% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.97% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (0.050000000000004 0.05)59.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)79.78% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.66% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)61.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.076000000000001 0.08)37.32% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.073999999999998 0.07)74.11% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 44.36%
    Tajikistan 27.84%
    Draw 27.8%
Saudi ArabiaDrawTajikistan
1-0 @ 13.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 44.36%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Tajikistan

Saudi Arabia
86.2%
Draw
10.3%
Tajikistan
3.4%
29
rhs 2.0
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