World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Tajikistan3 - 0Pakistan
FT(HT: 1-0)
Saddam (6'), Umar Hayat (75')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jordan 3-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, June 6 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, June 6 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Pakistan 0-3 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 6 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, June 6 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Tajikistan 4-0 Pakistan
Pakistan come into this game with one of the worst defensive and offensive records across the entire competition and we expect that to continue with a comfortably victory for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 86.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 3.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.47%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Pakistan |
86.17% ( 0.01) | 9.94% ( -0) | 3.89% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 37.76% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
