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Africa Cup of Nations
Tanzania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
Guinea national football team

Tanzania
1 - 0
Guinea

Msuva (61')
Kapombe (48'), Msuva (62'), Salum (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cisse (53'), Guirassy (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tanzania and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Tanzania
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Congo DR
Saturday, November 16 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Tanzania 1-2 Guinea

 Tanzania's lack of bite on home soil could once again prove costly, and the margins are slimmer for the hosts as they must win to stay in contention – this leaves them vulnerable to counter-attacks, which could be dangerous against a Guinea side boasting one of the world's best strikers, and therefore, we are predicting a victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 2-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (13.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tanzania in this match.

Result
TanzaniaDrawGuinea
35.22% (0.824 0.82) 30.91% (0.343 0.34) 33.87% (-1.171 -1.17)
Both teams to score 39.8% (-0.876 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.15% (-1.017 -1.02)67.85% (1.015 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.17% (-0.684 -0.68)85.83% (0.67999999999999 0.68)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)36.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (-1.389 -1.39)37.39% (1.386 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-1.39 -1.39)74.17% (1.388 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Tanzania 35.22%
    Guinea 33.87%
    Draw 30.91%
TanzaniaDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.259 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 35.22%
0-0 @ 13.62% (0.5 0.5)
1-1 @ 13.53%
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.91%
0-1 @ 13.4%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.254 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 33.87%

How you voted: Tanzania vs Guinea

Tanzania
33.3%
Draw
37.0%
Guinea
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Guinea
1-2
Tanzania
Bayo (57')
Salum (61'), Yahya (88')
Charles Balua (25'), Hamad (36'), Mwaikenda (71')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Tanzania
2-2
Guinea
Majogoro (23'), Charles Manyama (69')
Lyanga (3'), Nondo (33'), Majogoro (78')
Gnagna Barry (4' pen.), V (82')
Kante (47'), Lamine Soumah (64'), K. Traore (71')
> Preview
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