Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
Tanzania0 - 0Ethiopia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Last Game: Djibouti 1-1 Ethiopia
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Tanzania 1-0 Ethiopia
While Ethiopia have enjoyed the better of this fixture, Tanzania head into the game off the back of a solid display against Zambia and will be backing themselves on their home soil. Ethiopia have failed to taste victory in 11 straight competitive games and we see this run extending, with the Taifa Stars claiming all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 0-1 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Ethiopia |
35.82% ( 1.65) | 30.66% ( -0.26) | 33.51% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 40.4% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.87% ( 0.72) | 67.13% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.64% ( 0.48) | 85.35% ( -0.49) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( 1.54) | 35.63% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.6% ( 1.56) | 72.39% ( -1.57) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.58) | 37.23% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.98% ( -0.58) | 74.02% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
Tanzania 35.82%
Ethiopia 33.51%
Draw 30.65%
| Tanzania | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.07% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.65% | 0-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 33.51% |
How you voted: Tanzania vs Ethiopia
Tanzania
74.4%Draw
15.4%Ethiopia
10.3%39
Form Guide
