MX23RW : Monday, November 25 18:45:45| >> :60:102:102:
Ethiopia national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 24, 2024 at 12pm UK
Addis Ababa Stadium
Lesotho national football team

Ethiopia
2 - 1
Lesotho

Gugsa (51'), Markneh (61')
(90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fothoane (32')
Fothoane (45'), Rasethuntsa (55'), (62'), Lebokollane (88')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Ethiopia and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-2 Lesotho
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-2 Lesotho
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.01%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.

Result
EthiopiaDrawLesotho
48.52% (0.012 0.01) 29.14% (-0.124 -0.12) 22.34% (0.115 0.11)
Both teams to score 38.5% (0.368 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.39% (0.408 0.41)66.61% (-0.40700000000001 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15% (0.277 0.28)85% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.205 0.2)27.95% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (0.26 0.26)63.58% (-0.258 -0.26)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (0.362 0.36)46.56% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85% (0.276 0.28)82.15% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 48.51%
    Lesotho 22.34%
    Draw 29.13%
EthiopiaDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 16.58% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 48.51%
0-0 @ 13.01% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.34%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 12pm
Friendlies 3
Ethiopia
1-2
Lesotho
Solomon (48')
Thaba-Ntso (32'), Moerane (42')
Lebokollane (20')
May 31, 2022 8am
International Friendly
Ethiopia
1-1
Lesotho
May 28, 2022 8am
International Friendly
Ethiopia
1-1
Lesotho
rhs 2.0
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