Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Ethiopia and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-2 Lesotho
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-2 Lesotho
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.01%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Lesotho |
48.52% ( 0.01) | 29.14% ( -0.12) | 22.34% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.39% ( 0.41) | 66.61% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15% ( 0.28) | 85% ( -0.28) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( 0.2) | 27.95% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.42% ( 0.26) | 63.58% ( -0.26) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.36) | 46.56% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.85% ( 0.28) | 82.15% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Ethiopia 48.51%
Lesotho 22.34%
Draw 29.13%
| Ethiopia | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 16.58% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.51% Total : 48.51% | 0-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.2) 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.34% |
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 12pm
May 31, 2022 8am
International Friendly
Ethiopia
1-1
Lesotho
May 28, 2022 8am
International Friendly
Ethiopia
1-1
Lesotho
