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China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 19, 2024 at 12am UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Japan national football team

China
vs.
Japan

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between China and Japan.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: China 2-1 Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for China has a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.43%), while for a China win it is 1-0 (4.53%).

Result
ChinaDrawJapan
14.26% (-0.013 -0.01) 19.85% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 65.89% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)43.92% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)66.3% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)42.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)79.13%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)12.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.55% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.45% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    China 14.26%
    Japan 65.88%
    Draw 19.85%
ChinaDrawJapan
1-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.18%
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.26%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.85%
0-2 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-3 @ 8.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 6.81% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-4 @ 4.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 65.88%

Who will win Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan?

China
Draw
Japan
China
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Japan
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 11.35am
Third Round
Japan
7-0
China
Endo (12'), Mitoma (45+2'), Minamino (52', 58'), Ito (77'), Maeda (87'), Kubo (90+5')

Yang (18'), Zhang (39'), Carvalho (70')
Jan 27, 2022 10.01am
Third Round
Japan
2-0
China
Osako (13' pen.), Ito (61')

Lei (35')
Sep 7, 2021 4pm
Third Round
China
0-1
Japan

Xi (67'), Aloisio (69'), Wang (81')
Osako (40')
Ito (57')
rhs 2.0
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