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Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 11.35am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
Australia national football team

Japan
vs.
Australia

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between Japan and Australia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. China
Thursday, October 10 at 10.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Australia has a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.82%), while for an Australia win it is 1-2 (4.77%).

Result
JapanDrawAustralia
63.2% (3.402 3.4) 19.44% (-1.028 -1.03) 17.35% (-2.378 -2.38)
Both teams to score 58.99% (-0.89 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21% (0.935 0.94)35.78% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.14% (1.023 1.02)57.86% (-1.025 -1.03)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (1.187 1.19)10.8% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.15% (2.577 2.58)34.85% (-2.58 -2.58)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-1.906 -1.91)33.86% (1.902 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-2.119 -2.12)70.53% (2.116 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Japan 63.2%
    Australia 17.35%
    Draw 19.44%
JapanDrawAustralia
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.438 0.44)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.323 0.32)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.624 0.62)
4-1 @ 4.05% (0.361 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.506 0.51)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.237 0.24)
5-0 @ 1.66% (0.292 0.29)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 63.2%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.456 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.44%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-1 @ 3.96% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.288 -0.29)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 17.35%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 9.10am
Third Round
Australia
0-2
Japan

Metcalfe (15'), Stensness (55')
Mitoma (89', 90+4')
Nagatomo (10')
Oct 12, 2021 11.14am
Third Round
Japan
2-1
Australia
Tanaka (8'), Behich (85' og.)
Morita (68')
Hrustic (70')
Behich (63'), Souttar (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
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11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
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16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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