World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Saida International Stadium
Lebanon0 - 5Australia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Australia 2-0 Lebanon
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, March 21 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Lebanon 0-3 Australia
Lebanon fought hard to keep the first meeting tight last week, but Australia's quality shone through in a dominant display, and we envisage a similar showing and another three-point haul on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | Australia |
21.7% ( -0.51) | 25.96% ( -0.37) | 52.33% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
