World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 21, 2023 at 2pm UK

Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium

Palestine
0 - 1
Australia

Saldana (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Souttar (18')
Rowles (68')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Palestine and Australia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestine

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Lebanon 0-0 Palestine
Thursday, November 16 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Fortaleza	6	12	15
2	San Lorenzo	6	1	8
3	Estudiantes Merida	6	-13	3
4	Palestine	0	0	0

Australia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Australia 7-0 Bangladesh
Thursday, November 16 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Palestine win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Australia in this match.

Result
Palestine	Draw	Australia
23.3% ( 0.54)	25.2% ( -0.04)	51.5% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.06% (

0.67)

52.94% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.45% (

0.57)

74.54% (

-0.57)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27% (

0.89)

37.73% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.49% (

0.86)

74.51% (

-0.86)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

0.06)

20.56% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

0.1)

53.08% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Palestine 23.3%

Australia 51.5%

Draw 25.2%

Palestine	Draw	Australia
1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.63% Total : 23.3%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.5%