Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
England1 - 0Australia
The Match
Match Report
Ollie Watkins scores the only goal of the game as England record an unconvincing 1-0 friendly win over Australia at Wembley.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between England and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Friday's international friendly with Australia.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Scotland 1-3 England
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 5 | Malta | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 77.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Australia had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Australia |
77.13% ( 0.16) | 14.57% ( -0.08) | 8.3% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.09% ( 0.1) | 35.91% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42% ( 0.1) | 58% ( -0.1) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.37% ( 0.06) | 7.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.75% ( 0.14) | 27.25% ( -0.14) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.12) | 48.29% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.56% ( -0.09) | 83.44% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
England 77.12%
Australia 8.3%
Draw 14.57%
| England | Draw | Australia |
| 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.78% 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 77.12% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.57% | 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.3% |
How you voted: England vs Australia
England
89.6%Draw
4.5%Australia
6.0%67
Head to Head
May 27, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
England
2-1
Australia
Form Guide
Build-up
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