MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 06:00:29| >> :600:13430502:13430502:
Ukraine national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski
England national football team

Ukraine
1 - 1
England

Zinchenko (26')
Stepanenko (22'), Yaremchuk (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Walker (41')
Maddison (34'), Maguire (86')

The Match

Match Report

England's 100% record in Euro 2024 qualifying came to an end as Ukraine hold out for a 1-1 draw at Stadion Wroclaw in Group C.

Team News

Jordan Henderson and James Maddison both start for England in their Euro 2024 qualifier against Ukraine, while Harry Maguire holds his place in defence.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Ukraine and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group C clash with Ukraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Malta
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: England 7-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawEngland
30.92% (1.012 1.01) 28.18% (0.061 0.06) 40.9% (-1.071 -1.07)
Both teams to score 46.38% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (0.094999999999999 0.09)59.6% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (0.071999999999999 0.07)79.93% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.813 0.81)35.03% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (0.842 0.84)71.78% (-0.83999999999999 -0.84)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)28.62% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.693 -0.69)64.42% (0.69400000000001 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 30.92%
    England 40.89%
    Draw 28.17%
UkraineDrawEngland
1-0 @ 10.51% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 12.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.89%

How you voted: Ukraine vs England

Ukraine
Draw
England
Ukraine
10.9%
Draw
10.3%
England
78.8%
165
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
England
2-0
Ukraine
Kane (37'), Saka (40')
Jul 3, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Ukraine
0-4
England
Kane (4', 50'), Maguire (46'), Henderson (63')
Sep 10, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Ukraine
0-0
England
Kucher (63')
Walker (70')
Sep 11, 2012 8pm
Jun 19, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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