MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:21:05| >> :600:23148644:23148644:
Lebanon national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Thumama Stadium
China national football team

Lebanon
0 - 0
China

FT

Zhang (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Asian Cup clash between Lebanon and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Qatar 3-0 Lebanon
Friday, January 12 at 4pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: China 0-0 Tajikistan
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Lebanon 0-1 China

Finding the back of the net in this competition has proven to be challenging for the Lebanese, who may still be feeling the frustration of their opening loss, knowing they had their chances to score. The experience of China in these situations has us leaning towards them narrowly winning this match, despite their form being well below what we are used to seeing at this tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 44.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for China had a probability of 27.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
LebanonDrawChina
44.27% (-1.911 -1.91) 28% (0.456 0.46) 27.73% (1.457 1.46)
Both teams to score 45.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.86% (-0.807 -0.81)60.14% (0.81 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.65% (-0.617 -0.62)80.34% (0.621 0.62)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (-1.344 -1.34)27.05% (1.347 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (-1.792 -1.79)62.41% (1.794 1.79)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.789 0.79)37.82% (-0.78599999999999 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (0.758 0.76)74.6% (-0.755 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 44.26%
    China 27.73%
    Draw 28%
LebanonDrawChina
1-0 @ 13.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.413 -0.41)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 13% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 10.23% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.503 0.5)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.217 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.341 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 27.73%

How you voted: Lebanon vs China

Lebanon
18.8%
Draw
24.6%
China
56.5%
69
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!