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United Arab Emirates national football team
Friendlies 2
Oct 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sheikh Zayed Sports City
Lebanon national football team

UAE
2 - 1
Lebanon

Caio (26'), Adill Alamiri (90+4')
Alghassani (38'), Caio (67'), Alhammadi (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Darwiche (34')
Darwiche (30'), Al Hayek (56'), Ayoub (77')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between United Arab Emirates and Lebanon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UAE 1-0 Kuwait
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 3-2 Lebanon
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawLebanon
40.63% (0.185 0.19) 27.2% (-0.273 -0.27) 32.17% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.63% (0.839 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.3% (1.048 1.05)55.7% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (0.848 0.85)76.84% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.59399999999999 0.59)26.91% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.772 0.77)62.24% (-0.773 -0.77)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.59999999999999 0.6)32.1% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (0.676 0.68)68.57% (-0.676 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 40.62%
    Lebanon 32.17%
    Draw 27.2%
United Arab EmiratesDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.356 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.17%

How you voted: UAE vs Lebanon

United Arab Emirates
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Lebanon
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 3.30pm
International Friendly
UAE
1-0
Lebanon
Tagliabue (79')
Nov 16, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Lebanon
0-1
UAE
Mabkhout (85' pen.)
Essa (43'), Alzaabi (80'), Tagliabue (90+5')
Sep 2, 2021 5.45pm
Third Round
UAE
0-0
Lebanon
Michel Melki (49'), Jradi (60'), Ataya (80')
rhs 2.0
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