MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 17:04:06| >> :60:239:239:
United Arab Emirates national football team
International Friendly
Dec 30, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
TBC
Lebanon national football team

UAE
1 - 0
Lebanon

Tagliabue (79')
Hassan (23'), Alhammadi (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bader (13'), Al Haj (26'), Darwiche (59')
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between United Arab Emirates and Lebanon.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 2-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Lebanon

Last Game: Kuwait 2-0 Lebanon
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 44.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for United Arab Emirates in this match.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawLebanon
44.76% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 29.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 26.18% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 41.72% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.78% (0.162 0.16)64.22% (-0.16300000000001 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.66% (0.113 0.11)83.34% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.072999999999993 0.07)28.74% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.091999999999999 0.09)64.57% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (0.144 0.14)41.46% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (0.123 0.12)77.96% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 44.76%
    Lebanon 26.18%
    Draw 29.05%
United Arab EmiratesDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 14.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 44.76%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 11.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.05%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 26.18%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Lebanon
0-1
UAE
Mabkhout (85' pen.)
Essa (43'), Alzaabi (80'), Tagliabue (90+5')
Sep 2, 2021 5.45pm
Third Round
UAE
0-0
Lebanon

Michel Melki (49'), Jradi (60'), Ataya (80')
rhs 2.0
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