MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:57:27| >> :600:459833:459833:
China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 21, 2023 at 12pm UK
Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
South Korea national football team

China
0 - 3
South Korea


Jiang (45+2'), Lei (67'), Yennaris (85'), Zhu (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Heung-min (11' pen., 45'), Jung (87')
Yong-woo (74')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between China and South Korea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Thailand 1-2 China
Thursday, November 16 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: South Korea 5-0 Singapore
Thursday, November 16 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for China had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
ChinaDrawSouth Korea
17.43% (0.64 0.64) 21.93% (0.198 0.2) 60.64% (-0.838 -0.84)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.672 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (0.229 0.23)47% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (0.216 0.22)69.24% (-0.215 -0.22)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.48% (0.924 0.92)40.52% (-0.925 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (0.822 0.82)77.13% (-0.824 -0.82)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.194 -0.19)15.04% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (-0.366 -0.37)43.53% (0.365 0.37)
Score Analysis
    China 17.43%
    South Korea 60.63%
    Draw 21.92%
ChinaDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 5.51% (0.085 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.71% (0.157 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.42% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 17.43%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.92%
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-2 @ 10.93% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.91% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 60.63%

How you voted: China vs South Korea

China
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
South Korea
71.4%
7
rhs 2.0
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