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Asian Cup
Syria national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Australia national football team

Syria
0 - 1
Australia

FT(HT: 0-0)
Irvine (59')
O'Neill (27'), Silvera (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between Syria and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Syria

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Syria
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Australia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 2-0 India
Saturday, January 13 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Syria 0-1 Australia

 The Syrians can frustrate their opponents but are still missing some quality going forward, which for them has often made the difference between winning and losing. Australia do not have as much individual quality as they had in previous Asian Cups but have built up some solid continuity and always seem to do enough to get by against defence-minded opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Syria had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Syria win it was 1-0 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Australia in this match.

Result
SyriaDrawAustralia
21.58% (-1.186 -1.19) 26.22% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 52.2% (1.241 1.24)
Both teams to score 44.68% (-1.208 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (-0.862 -0.86)58.2% (0.86499999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.678 -0.68)78.84% (0.681 0.68)
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (-1.695 -1.7)42.4% (1.698 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (-1.489 -1.49)78.78% (1.492 1.49)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (0.181 0.18)22.42% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (0.268 0.27)55.94% (-0.264 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Syria 21.58%
    Australia 52.19%
    Draw 26.21%
SyriaDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 5.23% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.58%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.51% (0.308 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 14.21% (0.53 0.53)
0-2 @ 10.62% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.3% (0.252 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 52.19%

How you voted: Syria vs Australia

Syria
15.4%
Draw
17.3%
Australia
67.3%
52
rhs 2.0
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