Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium

Australia
2 - 0
India

Irvine (50'), Bos (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pratap Singh (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Australia and India, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-2 Australia
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	0	0	0
2	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
3	Syria	0	0	0
4	India	0	0	0

India

All competitions

Last Game: India 0-3 Qatar
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	0	0	0
2	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
3	Syria	0	0	0
4	India	0	0	0

Stimac seems unconcerned about how India will fare at this tournament, reportedly consulting an astrologer on team selections. The Aussies, meanwhile, have been laser-focused lately, and their overall balance across the pitch should propel them to a comfortable opening victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for India had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Australia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Australia.

Result
Australia	Draw	India
61.56% ( -0.19)	21.97% ( 0.1)	16.46% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24% (

-0.26)

48.75% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.14% (

-0.24)

70.86% (

0.24)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

-0.15)

15.33% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.92% (

-0.28)

44.07% (

0.28)

India Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.23% (

-0.05)

42.76% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.91% (

-0.04)

79.09% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Australia 61.55%

India 16.46%

Draw 21.97%

Australia	Draw	India
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.97%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 16.46%