World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 21, 2023 at 2.45pm UK

Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Syria
0 - 5
Japan

FT(HT: 0-3)

Kubo (32'), Ueda (37', 40'), Sugawara (47'), Hosoya (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Syria and Japan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Syria

Last Game: Syria 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Japan 5-0 Myanmar
Thursday, November 16 at 10.02am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Syria had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Syria win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Syria	Draw	Japan
17.51% ( 2.73)	23.08% ( 1.26)	59.42% ( -3.99)

Both teams to score 47.22% (

2.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.48% (

-0.4)

51.52% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.68% (

-0.35)

73.32% (

0.35)

Syria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.9% (

3.38)

43.1% (

-3.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.62% (

2.71)

79.38% (

-2.71)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-1.49)

17.01% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-2.71)

47.14% (

2.71)

Score Analysis

Syria 17.51%

Japan 59.41%

Draw 23.08%

Syria	Draw	Japan
1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.51%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.64) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.4) Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( -1.02) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.98) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.61) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.12) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.41%