Friendlies 1

Oct 17, 2023 at 11.10am UK

NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Japan
2 - 0
Tunisia

Furuhashi (43'), Ito (69')
Ito (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdi (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 4-1 Canada
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Tunisia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: South Korea 4-0 Tunisia
Friday, October 13 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Japan have scored a minimum of four goals in their last five matches, and they have defeated some top-quality sides, most notably Germany and Turkey. As such, Tuesday's game is likely to be a high-scoring affair, and we expect the hosts to secure a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Tunisia
53.76% ( 1.64)	25.41% ( -0.4)	20.84% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 45.91% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.92% (

0.24)

56.08% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.84% (

0.2)

77.16% (

-0.2)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

0.79)

20.89% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39% (

1.22)

53.61% (

-1.22)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03% (

-1.14)

41.97% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59% (

-1.01)

78.41% (

Score Analysis

Japan 53.74%

Tunisia 20.84%

Draw 25.41%

Japan	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.74%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.84%