Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Syria had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.7%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vietnam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vietnam.