Friendlies 3

Jun 15, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

San vận dộng Lạch Tray

Vietnam
1 - 0
Hong Kong

Hai Que (32' pen.)
(88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

(45+2'), (90+3'), (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Vietnam and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vietnam

Last Game: Vietnam 1-0 Philippines
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in International Friendlies

We said: Vietnam 3-0 Hong Kong

Vietnam have been enjoying a strong run of form as of late, and their defensive strength combined with Hong Kong's recent lack of attacking threat should lead to the hosts earning a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 88.59%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 2.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.26%) and 4-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.99%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (1.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.

Result
Vietnam	Draw	Hong Kong
88.59% ( -0.16)	8.55% ( 0.12)	2.85% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 33.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.82% (

-0.34)

32.18% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.22% (

-0.39)

53.78% (

0.39)

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.33% (

-0.09)

4.66% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.04% (

-0.26)

18.96% (

0.26)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.89% (

0.02)

65.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.95% (

0.01)

93.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vietnam 88.58%

Hong Kong 2.86%

Draw 8.55%

Vietnam	Draw	Hong Kong
3-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 88.58%	1-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 8.55%	0-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 2.86%