FA Cup

FA Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 17, 2024 at 12.45pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
4 - 2
Leicester

Cucurella (13'), Palmer (45+1'), Chukwuemeka (90+2'), Madueke (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Disasi (51' og.), Mavididi (62')
Mavididi (67'), Coady (90+6')
Doyle (73')

Mauricio Pochettino defends Raheem Sterling, responds to jeers from Chelsea fans

Head coach Mauricio Pochettino says that Raheem Sterling 'deserves the support' of Chelsea supporters, as well as calling on fans to place more trust in his managerial decisions.

Mar 17, 15:35

Chelsea winger Raheem Sterling apologises for penalty miss against Leicester City

Raheem Sterling takes to social media to apologise for missing a penalty in Chelsea's 4-2 victory over Leicester City in the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Mar 18, 09:59

Raheem Sterling in action for Chelsea on March 17, 2024.

Raheem Sterling doesn't just miss penalties at Chelsea: He misses the point

Raheem Sterling was quick to apologise for missing a penalty against Leicester City on Sunday, yet his response only suggested that he is oblivious as to why Chelsea fans have turned on him.

Mar 18, 12:00

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Leicester City
47.3% ( 0.62)	23.5% ( 0.52)	29.2% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 60.34% (

-2.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.9% (

-3.17)

41.1% (

3.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

-3.3)

63.5% (

3.31)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

-0.98)

17.62% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79% (

-1.73)

48.21% (

1.73)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

-2.32)

26.75% (

2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

-3.16)

62.03% (

3.16)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 47.3%

Leicester City 29.2%

Draw 23.5%

Chelsea	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.89) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.3%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.65) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.2%