Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 1Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
32
We said: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
Burnley will be full of confidence after winning each of their last four matches, while they also boast an unbeaten record at Turf Moor this season. With that in mind, the Clarets will be targeting all three points in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a point when they face a Middlesbrough side that will be in high spirits after winning four of their previous five matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
31.45% ( 1.96) | 24.91% ( -0.02) | 43.64% ( -1.93) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( 1) | 46.44% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( 0.94) | 68.72% ( -0.94) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( 1.83) | 27.93% ( -1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.45% ( 2.27) | 63.55% ( -2.27) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -0.45) | 21.31% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.74% ( -0.7) | 54.26% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 31.45%
Middlesbrough 43.64%
Draw 24.91%
| Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.64% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Middlesbrough
Burnley
63.9%Draw
23.0%Middlesbrough
13.1%122
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Form Guide
