Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke0 - 2Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Stoke City 0-1 Burnley
Failing to find a spark against Preston last time out, Stoke look set for another frustrating match in front of goal this weekend when they face a stubborn Burnley outfit. The Clarets eased past Coventry on Tuesday night and should be confident of repeating the trick against the Potters on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
41.24% ( 0.12) | 27.08% ( 0.03) | 31.68% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( -0.16) | 55.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( -0.13) | 76.54% ( 0.13) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.01) | 26.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.43% ( -0.01) | 61.57% ( 0.01) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( -0.19) | 32.25% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.25% ( -0.21) | 68.75% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 41.24%
Burnley 31.68%
Draw 27.07%
| Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.68% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Burnley
Stoke City
15.3%Draw
15.3%Burnley
69.5%59
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Stoke
Barnes (89')
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
