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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Derby logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Derby

Rodon (39'), Wober (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jackson (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, November 30 at 1.30pm in Championship

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Sheff Weds
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Derby County

 With Leeds welcoming a newly-promoted side to Elland Road, this weekend's clash has all the hallmarks of a comfortable victory for Farke's troops. Due to the absence of midfield enforcer Adams, Derby are in serious risk of being overrun in the engine room, so we can only envisage a troubling afternoon for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawDerby County
70.37% (-0.376 -0.38) 18.46% (0.376 0.38) 11.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 45.42% (-1.255 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-1.679 -1.68)45.18% (1.677 1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-1.63 -1.63)67.52% (1.628 1.63)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (-0.571 -0.57)11.61% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (-1.241 -1.24)36.6% (1.241 1.24)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (-1.081 -1.08)48.61% (1.079 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (-0.79 -0.79)83.68% (0.788 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 70.37%
    Derby County 11.17%
    Draw 18.46%
Leeds UnitedDrawDerby County
2-0 @ 13.08% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-0 @ 5.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.146 -0.15)
5-0 @ 2.18% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 70.37%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.164 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.46%
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Derby

Leeds United
77.2%
Draw
17.5%
Derby County
5.3%
57
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 45
Derby
1-3
Leeds
> Match Report
Sep 21, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
1-1
Derby
> Match Report
May 15, 2019 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Leeds
2-4
Derby
> Match Report
May 11, 2019 5.15pm
Semi-Finals
Derby
0-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Leeds
2-0
Derby
Roofe (20'), Harrison (47')
Roofe (54')

Wisdom (15'), Evans (45'), Holmes (45'), Waghorn (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116
> Championship Full Table


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