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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Derby
vs.
Plymouth

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Derby
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw has a probability of 20% and a win for Plymouth Argyle has a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it is 0-1 (4.69%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.12% (-0.349 -0.35) 20% (0.212 0.21) 12.88% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (-0.569 -0.57)47.58% (0.57 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (-0.528 -0.53)69.79% (0.53 0.53)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.274 -0.27)13.23% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-0.561 -0.56)40% (0.561 0.56)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.8% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)47.2% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36% (-0.096 -0.1)82.63% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 67.12%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.88%
    Draw 20%
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.61% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 67.12%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20%
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.88%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Derby and Plymouth?

Derby County
Draw
Plymouth Argyle
Derby County
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Plymouth Argyle
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Derby
Wright (59'), Hardie (70' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
2-3
Plymouth
Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (38')
McGoldrick (57')
Whittaker (56'), Cosgrove (77', 90')
Mumba (34')
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
Derby
Mackie (82')
Fallon (29'), Sawyer (45')

McEveley (14'), Pearson (38'), Hunt (45'), Savage (78'), Buxton (81')
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Derby
2-1
Plymouth
Buxton (40'), Addison (90')
Addison (76')
Judge (17' pen.)
Fletcher (90')
Feb 7, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Derby
Hulse (46', 52'), Teale (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley136521761123
5Millwall146441712522
6Watford147162222022
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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