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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw has a probability of 20% and a win for Plymouth Argyle has a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it is 0-1 (4.69%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.12% ( -0.35) | 20% ( 0.21) | 12.88% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% ( -0.57) | 47.58% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( -0.53) | 69.79% ( 0.53) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.76% ( -0.27) | 13.23% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60% ( -0.56) | 40% ( 0.56) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.8% ( -0.13) | 47.2% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.36% ( -0.1) | 82.63% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 67.12% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Millwall | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Watford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Bristol City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
18 | Hull City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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