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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Hull logo

Derby
1 - 1
Hull City

Brown (66')
Forsyth (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simons (57')
Simons (72'), Hughes (77'), Burstow (90+1'), Pedro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Hull City

With Derby County having excelled at home so far this season and the visitors yet to truly click under Tim Walter, we back Derby County to earn another three points and continue their pleasing start to the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
41.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.5% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46%48.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 41.63%
    Hull City 32.87%
    Draw 25.49%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Derby vs Hull City

Derby County
58.7%
Draw
27.0%
Hull City
14.3%
63
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
3-1
Hull City
Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
0-1
Derby

Jones (71')
Baldock (57')
Morrison (79'), Roos (90+1'), Stretton (90+2')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hull City
2-0
Derby
Bowen (74', 80')
Irvine (11'), Bowler (44'), de Wijs (45'), Elder (63')

Holmes (53')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
2-0
Hull City
Waghorn (41', 71')
Wilson (93')

Ridgewell (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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