Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Derby3 - 1Hull City
We said: Derby County 1-1 Hull City
This is a huge game for Derby, who need to return to winning ways as soon as possible if they are to move closer to safety. Hull's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the two sides could end up cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Hull City |
| 33.29% | 28.78% | 37.92% |
| Both teams to score 45.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
