Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby4 - 0Portsmouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Derby County 1-1 Portsmouth
After losing seven of their opening 14 league games, Portsmouth have proven to be a tougher team to beat in recent times, and we think that they could extend their unbeaten run to five games by holding Derby to a draw on Friday, especially as each of the last four head-to-head meetings have finished all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Portsmouth |
52.17% ( 0.22) | 24.63% ( -0.09) | 23.19% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.22) | 50.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( 0.2) | 72.69% ( -0.2) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( 0.17) | 19.45% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.71% ( 0.28) | 51.29% ( -0.28) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( 0) | 36.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.58% ( 0) | 73.42% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 52.17%
Portsmouth 23.19%
Draw 24.63%
| Derby County | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.19% |
How you voted: Derby vs Portsmouth
Derby County
56.6%Draw
25.4%Portsmouth
18.0%122
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
Portsmouth
0-0
Derby
Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Portsmouth
2-1
Derby
