MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 22:37:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 3
Connah's Quay

Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
Jones (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 69.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
12.68%17.64%69.68%
Both teams to score 53.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65%37.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43%59.57%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.02%40.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47%77.53%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36%9.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8%32.2%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 12.68%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 69.68%
    Draw 17.64%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 3.68%
1-0 @ 3.53%
2-0 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.28%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 12.68%
1-1 @ 8.25%
2-2 @ 4.3%
0-0 @ 3.95%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.64%
0-2 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.64%
0-1 @ 9.24%
0-3 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 7.52%
0-4 @ 4.93%
1-4 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-5 @ 2.31%
1-5 @ 2.06%
2-4 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 69.68%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
2-0
Aberystwyth
Disney (9' pen.), Edwards (27')
Holmes (10')
Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Jones (90' pen.)
Insall (38')
Holmes (48'), Disney (63'), Insall (75'), Roberts (83'), Owen (89'), Brass (90')
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
4-1
Aberystwyth
Morris (12'), Wignall (25'), Bakare (46'), Poole (85')
Bakare (41'), Poole (72'), Brass (78')
Horan (59')
Phillips (86')
Jan 4, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Aberystwyth
1-6
Connah's Quay
Ahmadi (38')
Jenkins (69')
Morris (14' pen.), Owens (32'), Wilde (65'), Bakare (79'), Parker (90'), Hughes (90')
Aug 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Aberystwyth
Bakare (37'), Wilde (44')
Hughes (41')
Baynes (90')
Jones (40'), Walker (60'), Williams (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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