Caernarfon
3 - 2
Cardiff MU

Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Cardiff MU
49.44%	23.44%	27.12%

Both teams to score 58.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.7%

42.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.29%

64.71%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74%

17.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42%

47.58%

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18%

28.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32%

64.68%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 49.44%

Cardiff MU 27.12%

Draw 23.44%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Cardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.95% Total : 49.44%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 6.76% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.45% Total : 27.12%