Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid
Bala Town3 - 0Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-5 Bala Town
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-5 Bala Town
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 8.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
77% ( 0.03) | 14.97% ( -0.01) | 8.04% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
