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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Wall (62')
Peate (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Georgievsky (11')
Kavanagh (40')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-4 Bala Town
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
43.42% (0.326 0.33) 24.48% (0.029 0.03) 32.1% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 58.49% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (-0.259 -0.26)44.23% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (-0.25 -0.25)66.61% (0.25 0.25)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.49% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.061 0.06)52.97% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-0.345 -0.34)26.44% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-0.461 -0.46)61.61% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 43.42%
    Pen-y-Bont 32.1%
    Draw 24.48%
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.1%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Bala Town
Kavanagh (58', 63')
Little (90+1')
Snaith (78')

Smith (45+1'), Nalatche Mendes (85'), Edwards (85')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Bala Town
11-0
Pen-y-Bont
Kay (19'), Spittle (83', 84', 84', 85'), Ebbe (30', 47'), Evans (31'), Nalatche Mendes (34', 69'), Rutherford (52', 80'), Bauress (66')
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-5
Bala Town

Jefferies (66'), Reynolds (68'), Borge (75')
Evans (23', 24', 56'), Venables (30'), Ebbe (90+1', 90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-0
Bala Town
Snaith (23')
Snaith (38'), Levi Borge (72'), Evans (85'), Watts (86')

Woods (16'), Venables (90')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Bala Town
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Evans (28'), Edwards (51')
Spittle (7'), Nalatche Mendes (54'), Smith (59'), Southern (70')
Venables (90')
Snaith (9'), Owen (56' pen.)
Jefferies (88'), Snaith (90')
rhs 2.0
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