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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium
Bala Town logo

Haverfordwest
1 - 4
Bala Town

Scotcher (5')
Patten (72'), Veale (84'), Watts (90+3')
Wilson (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Newell (50'), Peate (54'), Roscrow (61', 69')
Arsan (24'), Nalatche Mendes (59'), Shannon (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Haverfordwest
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawBala Town
21.07% (0.162 0.16) 25.19% (0.123 0.12) 53.74% (-0.286 -0.29)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (-0.281 -0.28)55.04% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (-0.232 -0.23)76.31% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)41.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)77.66% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.227 -0.23)20.48% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.04% (-0.361 -0.36)52.96% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 21.07%
    Bala Town 53.73%
    Draw 25.18%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.27% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 21.07%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 13.35% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 10.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.6% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 53.73%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Bala Town
1-1
Haverfordwest
Shannon (82')
Peate (24'), Nalatche Mendes (36'), Arsan (80'), (80')
Wilson (34')
Fawcett (11'), Jenkins (24'), Davies (56'), Wilson (74')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Bala Town

Lewis (12'), Jones (45')

Smith (51'), Peate (76')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Bala Town
6-2
Haverfordwest
Edwards (9', 45+1'), Woods (14'), Rutherford (25'), Peate (50'), Bauress (88')
Leslie (67')
Fawcett (21'), Lewis (86')
Jones (3'), Patten (68')
Oct 31, 2020 5.15pm
Haverfordwest
1-1
Bala Town
Wilson (90')
(51')
Evans (81')
Kay (22'), Leslie (39')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Bala Town
1-2
Haverfordwest
Venables (24' pen.)
(69'), (90+4')
Williams (33'), Wilson (90+4')
(24'), (62')
rhs 2.0
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