Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
Bala Town

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kay (36'), Venables (51')
Smith (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Airbus UK 4-4 Newtown
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bala Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
18.67% ( 0.04)	22.82% ( 0.02)	58.52% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.06% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

-0.05)

48.81% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

-0.05)

70.91% (

0.05)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.86% (

0.01)

40.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.22% (

0.01)

76.78% (

-0.01)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.63% (

-0.04)

16.37% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.01% (

-0.07)

45.99% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 18.67%

Bala Town 58.51%

Draw 22.82%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
1-0 @ 6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.67%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 58.51%