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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Bala Town logo

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town

Stratulis (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kay (61'), Southern (83')
Kay (70'), Southern (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
42.06% (-0.143 -0.14) 28.14% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.8% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (0.097999999999999 0.1)59.8% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91% (0.074000000000002 0.07)80.08% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)28.07% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.17400000000001 0.17)35.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.177 0.18)72.76% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 42.05%
    Bala Town 29.8%
    Draw 28.14%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 29.8%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-0
Connah's Quay
Ebbe (45+2'), Shannon (90+5')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
0-4
Connah's Quay

Ramsey (45'), (63'), Shannon (65')
Venables (62'), Smith (75')
Morris (3' pen., 59'), Curran (24'), Harrington (49')
Eardley (11')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
Bala Town

Moore (82'), Edwards (90+4')
Horan (27')
Edwards (29')
Apr 28, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-1
Connah's Quay
Horan (18' og.), Jones (72')
Shannon (32'), Smith (54'), Ramsey (78'), Kay (88'), Smith (90+3')
Peate (78')
Morris (80' pen.)
Poole (75')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Bala Town
Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')

Correia (27'), (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints25200569274260
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont25156443222151
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest25129433141945
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2511593734338
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2511593938138
6Bala TownBala Town2571173229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2510783841-337
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2585123429529
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2582153251-1926
4Briton Ferry2574143850-1225
5Newtown AFCNewtown2556142750-2321
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2552182259-3717
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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