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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

Last Six:
Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Airbus UK
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
49.39% (0.515 0.52) 26.64% (0.737 0.74) 23.97% (-1.252 -1.25)
Both teams to score 46.13% (-3.218 -3.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33% (-3.601 -3.6)57.67% (3.603 3.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57% (-2.93 -2.93)78.42% (2.93 2.93)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (-1.295 -1.3)23.44% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (-1.915 -1.92)57.45% (1.917 1.92)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26% (-3.132 -3.13)39.74% (3.134 3.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59% (-3.015 -3.02)76.41% (3.017 3.02)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 49.38%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 23.97%
    Draw 26.64%
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 13.51% (1.29 1.29)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.589 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.319 -0.32)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 9.32% (1.209 1.21)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.477 -0.48)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.449 0.45)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.417 -0.42)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.297 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.97%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-3
New Saints

Bradley (44')
Robles (56', 72'), Astles (70')
Davies (77')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
3-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (12', 49' pen.), Clark (27')
Redmond (68'), Robles (77')
Disney (47' pen.)
Disney (17'), Holmes (49')
Oct 9, 2021 12.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
New Saints

Horan (25'), Disney (49'), Mullan (59')
Horan (89')
McManus (58' pen.)
Davies (18'), Cieslewicz (81'), McManus (82'), Robles (86')
Davies (89')
May 1, 2021 5.15pm
Connah's Quay
0-0
New Saints

Horan (33'), Insall (75')

Davies (48'), Routledge (48'), Redmond (90+2')
Redmond (90+3')
Apr 24, 2021 5.15pm
New Saints
1-4
Connah's Quay
Brobbel (24')
Redmond (32'), Spender (35'), Cieslewicz (90+5')
Wilde (8', 30', 45'), Insall (58')
Horan (25'), Poole (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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