Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon2 - 3Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-3 Caernarfon
Friday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Flint Town 1-4 Newtown
Saturday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
34.87% ( -0.07) | 23.71% ( 0.02) | 41.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
