Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Flint Town United
41.89% ( -0.11)	24.97% ( -0.01)	33.14% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57.16% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

0.07)

46.14% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

0.07)

68.44% (

-0.07)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.02)

22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69% (

-0.03)

55.31% (

0.02)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

0.1)

26.72% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02% (

0.14)

61.98% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 41.89%

Flint Town United 33.14%

Draw 24.97%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Flint Town United
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.89%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.14%

Head to Head

May 14, 2022 2pm

Caernarfon

2-1

Flint Town

Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')

Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')

Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm

Flint Town

3-4

Caernarfon

Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')

Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')

Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm

Caernarfon

2-3

Flint Town

Hughes (12'), Hayes (83')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')

Wilde (72', 89'), Harwood (76')
Phillips (24'), Roberts (32'), Jones (33'), Hart (90')

Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm

Flint Town

0-2

Caernarfon

Bratley (31'), Amis (64'), Harwood (68'), Maher (72')

Edwards (63'), Bradley (66')
Kenny (34'), Edwards (45+2')