Caernarfon

2 - 3

Flint Town

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.