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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Disney (50')
Curran (32'), Owens (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (28')
Hughes (45+3'), Gosset (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
73.93%16.1%9.97%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.3%37.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.06%59.94%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.25%8.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95%30.05%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.05%45.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.32%81.68%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 73.93%
    Caernarfon Town 9.97%
    Draw 16.1%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 7.54%
4-0 @ 5.91%
4-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.79%
6-0 @ 1.17%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 73.93%
1-1 @ 7.61%
0-0 @ 4.02%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.1%
0-1 @ 3.12%
1-2 @ 2.96%
0-2 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.97%

Head to Head
May 8, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
4-0
Caernarfon
Insall (10'), Williams (69'), Morris (77', 90+2')
Wilde (37')

Hayes (77'), Mendes (83')
Brass (67')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
1-6
Connah's Quay
Bickerstaff (24')
Edwards (31')
Poole (16'), Wilde (32'), Jones (54' og.), Davies (73', 90'), Horan (79')
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
1-2
Connah's Quay
Edwards (55')
Hayes (33'), (86'), (90+8')
Bradley (90+4')
Wilde (75'), Morris (90+2' pen.)
(76'), (85')
Brass (90+9'), Roberts (90+9')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
3-1
Caernarfon
Farquharson (46', 79'), Wilde (52')
Curran (65')
Jones (19')
Williams (63')
Mar 28, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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