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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Caernarfon

Farquharson (46', 79'), Wilde (52')
Curran (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jones (19')
Williams (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
50.95%23.97%25.07%
Both teams to score 55.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65%46.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36%68.64%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78%18.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76%49.24%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44%32.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91%69.09%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 50.95%
    Caernarfon Town 25.07%
    Draw 23.97%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.66%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.07%

Head to Head
Mar 28, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Caernarfon
Horan (2', 23'), Curran (76'), Bakare (84')
(59')

Craig (8'), (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
4-2
Caernarfon
Wilde (7'), Poole (52'), Insall (56', 66')
Brookwell (8'), Bradley (57')
Aug 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
0-0
Connah's Quay
Thomas (50'), Edwards (76'), Williams (92')
Harrison (19')
Apr 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-0
Connah's Quay
Evans (18')

Parker (55'), Owens (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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