Connah's Quay

1 - 0

Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.