Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.55%) and 2-3 (4.98%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Tbilisi would win this match.