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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Sep 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Caernarfon

Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
37.17%25.8%37.03%
Both teams to score 54.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.34%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15%25.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18%60.81%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07%60.92%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 37.17%
    Caernarfon Town 37.03%
    Draw 25.79%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.03%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
3-1
Newtown
Evans (58', 74'), Craig (84')
(39')
Harry (26')
(38'), (70'), (83')
Nov 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Newtown
3-1
Caernarfon
Mills-Evans (11'), Sheridan (30'), Rushton (52')
Jones (69')
Sep 27, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Breese (55')
Ramsey (51'), Craig (93')

Williams (30'), Mwandwe (48'), Fletcher (51')
Apr 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
4-1
Newtown
Brookwell (10'), Breese (33'), Thomas (49'), Jones (55')
Mills-Evans (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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