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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Sep 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Caernarfon

Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
37.17%25.8%37.03%
Both teams to score 54.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.34%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15%25.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18%60.81%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07%60.92%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 37.17%
    Caernarfon Town 37.03%
    Draw 25.79%
Newtown AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.03%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
3-1
Newtown
Evans (58', 74'), Craig (84')
(39')
Harry (26')
(38'), (70'), (83')
Nov 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Newtown
3-1
Caernarfon
Mills-Evans (11'), Sheridan (30'), Rushton (52')
Jones (69')
Sep 27, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Breese (55')
Ramsey (51'), Craig (93')

Williams (30'), Mwandwe (48'), Fletcher (51')
Apr 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
4-1
Newtown
Brookwell (10'), Breese (33'), Thomas (49'), Jones (55')
Mills-Evans (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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