Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
